Sample
Size and Confidence Interval
This Sample Size Calculator provided by ISG is a
convenient tool designed to assist you determining the
required number of people you must survey in order to
reflect your desired results as well as a way to find
your level of accuracy from an existing sample.
In using the calculator, it is helpful if you understand
the meaning of the following terms.
Confidence Interval
The confidence interval,
commonly called the margin of error, is a plus or minus figure that
you might experience when asking a particular research question of every
member of your target survey population and receive the same answer back
that the members of the sample gave in the survey. Illustration: If you
used a confidence interval of 3 and 70% of the participants in the survey
answered "Yes” to the question “Would you buy our product again?," you
could be sure that between 73% (70+3) and 67% (70-3) of the individuals
within the entire target population would also say " Yes, I would buy your
product again" when asked the same question. The confidence interval in
this illustration is +/- 3.
Confidence Level
A confidence level tells you how confident you can be of the data obtained
from your sample. The confidence level shows how often that percentage of
the target population would give an answer that falls within the
confidence interval. The confidence level reflects your level of certainty
that those responding to your survey will fall inside your confidence
interval. A confidence level of 95% is commonly used by researchers.
Based upon our previous illustration, we found that 70% of our survey
participants answered "Yes” to the question: “Would buy our product
again?" resulting in a confidence interval of plus or minus 3%.
Sample Size
How many
observations are contained within your sample?
Larger samples deliver data that more closely
reflects the target population. The lower the
confidence interval desired, the higher sample size
is required. If you are interviewing 1,000 people,
your results may be accurate to within plus or minus
4% of your findings. If you want to lower the
confidence interval to plus or minus 1%, then you
will naturally need to interview more people, which
will require a larger sample size.
It is
important that the sample is selected carefully,
thus giving every member of the population an equal
chance of being chosen from the overall population.
Randomly selecting your sample enables you to
successfully generalize your survey results to your
target audience of customer, prospects, etc. In
addition, it is important that respondents are
chosen to participate rather than given a choice to
take the survey themselves. In short, when dealing
with individuals, you need to make sure that there
is an equal probability of selecting any individual
participant in a survey.
Population Size (Optional)
How many
people in the group (population) you are
surveying meet the profile of the individual you
wish to survey. That is, how many customers, club
members, dog owners within your city, etc. are you
surveying?
Percentage
What
percentage of your respondents answered “yes” to
your survey question. If a high percentage, of your
respondents answered “yes,” e.g., 85% vs. 15%, the
possibility of error is relatively small. If the
“yes” and “no” responses were more evenly split,
e.g., 45% vs. 55%, the chances of error are
significantly higher.
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